Football statistics · 53 leagues · 18+
Numbers, not opinions.
Maths, not gut feeling.
Every morning a statistical model rates the matches in our leagues. We publish as tips only the calls that pass a rule fixed in advance, post them before kickoff and keep every result public, misses included.
Today · 6 Oct 2026
Card tips
No matches in our tip leagues today.
Next matches in our tip leagues: Friday 9 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC.
Goal stats Not yet verified
No goal stats today.
The goal model has not passed its tests yet. We show its strongest calls separately, with their own results.
It is not yet proven that the model beats the bookmakers at real odds. A tip is a statistical estimate, not a recommendation to bet.
Next big matches
All matches →
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
Gil Vicente⚽ 2.4 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 44%4.0 Cards per match in the two teams' matches

Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen⚽ 3.9 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 78%2.9 Cards per match in the two teams' matches

Bundesliga · Germany
Dortmund
Werder Bremen⚽ 3.4 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 62%3.6 Cards per match in the two teams' matches

Ligue 1 · France
Lens
Lyon⚽ 3.0 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 60%3.8 Cards per match in the two teams' matches

La Liga · Spain
Malaga
Espanyol⚽ 2.5 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 50%4.6 Cards per match in the two teams' matches

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sp Braga
Sp Lisbon⚽ 2.8 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 60%5.3 Cards per match in the two teams' matches

Premier League · England
Arsenal
Leeds⚽ 2.2 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 40%4.7 Cards per match in the two teams' matches

Premium liiga · Estonia
Nõmme Kalju
Laagri⚽ 2.9 Goals per match in the two teams' matchesOver 2.5 57%5.1 Cards per match in the two teams' matches
Form: the last five matches, oldest on the left. W win, D draw, L loss.
Fact of the day
All facts →Süper Lig (Turkey): the most points in one season since 2014 – Galatasaray, 102 in 2023/24.
Results
All results →Card tips
The card rule's results start with its first finished tip (the rule is in force from 1 Oct 2026).
Goal stats Not yet verified
3 of 5 won
How it works
Results, goals, cards, corners, referees and players from 53 leagues and over a decade of seasons.
Every match gets a probability for each market from team, league and referee levels.
A rule fixed in advance keeps only the strongest calls. Most days have between 0 and 4.
Every tip is posted before kickoff and written to a log that cannot be changed unnoticed; hit or miss is marked automatically.
If a league's tips hit less often than the model expected, tips there pause by themselves.
Sports
Tips, goal stats and 53 leagues of numbers.
Data collected and studied. A sample from real games is ready.
Data collected and studied. A sample from real games is ready.
Race facts in preparation. A sample from the 2024 season is ready.
Free and Club
Club →Free
- The day's strongest tip on Telegram
- Goal stats, labelled “not yet verified”
- Evening radar and a daily fact
- Weekly summary
- All results, in public
Club
- Every tip of the day, not just the strongest
- Topics: cards and goals; corners and shots once they pass their tests
- Strength and reasons on every tip
- Members' chat, moderated
- Coming: follow your clubs, our view on any match
Questions
Is this betting advice?
No. It is statistical information for adults. You decide what you do with it, and the risk is yours.
Why are there days without a tip?
Because the rule found nothing strong enough. Publishing a weak call just to have one would make the results worse.
Can I check your results?
Yes. Every tip is posted in our public Telegram channel before kickoff, so the post time is the proof, and it is also written to our log. Won or lost is marked from the published match data (football-data.co.uk); a bookmaker may settle differently.
What are the minimum odds?
Every tip shows its minimum odds: below them the tip makes no sense by our calculation. We never point to a bookmaker.
What does it cost?
Nothing today. If the Club becomes paid, the free channel stays free.